Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000264 0.000296 0.000331 0.000372 0.000417 0.000468 0.000527
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000213 0.000261 0.000317 0.000388 0.000478 0.000585 0.000726
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000173 0.000226 0.000292 0.000382 0.000503 0.000661 0.000882
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000148 0.000203 0.000276 0.000381 0.000531 0.000738 0.001047
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000182 0.000258 0.000374 0.000546 0.000795 0.001191
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000115 0.000170 0.000251 0.000378 0.000577 0.000879 0.001382
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000104 0.000160 0.000244 0.000381 0.000605 0.000960 0.001578
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000143 0.000225 0.000364 0.000598 0.000984 0.001684
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000136 0.000220 0.000366 0.000622 0.001060 0.001886
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000133 0.000222 0.000382 0.000671 0.001184 0.002192
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000124 0.000212 0.000374 0.000677 0.001232 0.002361
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000113 0.000197 0.000357 0.000663 0.001240 0.002454
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000108 0.000194 0.000361 0.000692 0.001337 0.002745
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000107 0.000197 0.000378 0.000748 0.001495 0.003190
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000101 0.000189 0.000372 0.000757 0.001559 0.003444
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000096 0.000184 0.000372 0.000777 0.001647 0.003764
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000090 0.000176 0.000364 0.000781 0.001702 0.004015
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000087 0.000174 0.000369 0.000812 0.001821 0.004441
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000084 0.000171 0.000372 0.000840 0.001936 0.004877
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000077 0.000161 0.000355 0.000820 0.001936 0.005013
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000075 0.000158 0.000357 0.000844 0.002045 0.005462
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000075 0.000161 0.000372 0.000904 0.002253 0.006219
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000070 0.000155 0.000365 0.000904 0.002306 0.006547